Dramatic changes in network, media and industry competition by 2020 predicts Strategy Analytics
Date: Thu, 04/10/2014 - 19:48 Source: Strategy Analytics press department
Sue Rudd, Director of Wireless Networks and Platforms, Strategy Analytics
Image credited to Strategy Analytics
Strategy Analytics anticipates dramatic changes across both fixed and mobile platforms in the Communications Networks, Content and Technology markets by 2020. The fuel for continued innovation will be ever faster, more agile, ubiquitous, virtualized networks and cloud services alongside pervasive energy sensors and ad hoc networks for the Internet of Things (IoT) market
The Strategy Analytics report, "2020 Vision: Predictions for Communications Networks, Content and Technology," highlights that operator consolidation will result in a maximum of three players in a given market as network sharing becomes commonplace.
Network architectures built on software-defined networking (SDN) and hybrid self-optimizing networks (SON) will be the norm. Next Generation network technology will become fluid as 5G services emerge.
"These new network architectures will help to 'close the scissor gap' as falling costs per GB align with the rate of revenue per GB decline. Revenue per GB fell more than twice as fast as costs between 2010 and 2013, but rates of change could equalize towards the end of this decade." noted Sue Rudd, Director of Wireless Networks and Platforms.
Spectrum will still be king for operators, but it will be harder to keep exclusive control of spectrum real estate as new licensing paradigms take hold.
"5G networks will still be in their infancy in 2020, but the small number of early commercial networks will be in Asia-Pacific that will dominate the first wave again." noted Phil Kendall, Executive Director of Wireless Operator Strategies.
Talking about the impact of IoT, Andrew Brown, Executive Director Enterprise Mobility and M2Mcommented "The realization of the third industrial revolution will be driven by Cloud computing, Big Data analytics and the consumerization of business services. IoT developments and M2M will create new partnerships with disruptive new business models."
IoT's success will depend on ubiquitous energy harvesting and ad-hoc sensor networks. These developments will be under way by 2020; and will eventually transform industrial processes, consumer applications, healthcare and government.
Strategy Analytics 2020 vision includes additional insights for Mobile Devices, Media and Home Entertainment.